The Carbon That Should Not Be There: Intrinsic C14 in Ancient Material?
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D. Budinsky et al.
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- Abstract
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Radiocarbon measurements in geological materials require distinguishing residual original carbon-14 from carbon introduced after formation, in-situ production, and analytical background. This study examines reported measurements in coal, petroleum, dinosaur fossils, ammonites, and fossil wood, with particular attention to dinosaur-bone fractions containing radiocarbon substantially above laboratory procedural backgrounds. Published measurements include chemically distinct bone fractions, repeated measurements within individual specimens, and analyses performed across multiple radiocarbon laboratories and analytical systems. The dinosaur-bone dataset contains values from approximately 0.61 to 7.46 pMC, with commonly reported concentrations around 1.5 – 5.6 pMC, far above the procedural-background regime emphasized for nominally carbon-dead materials. We evaluate four major alternative explanations, in-situ contamination, laboratory and procedural contamination, in-situ nuclear production, and instrument background and identify fifteen independent or partly independent constraints that any comprehensive contamination model must satisfy. These include the magnitude of the signal, multiple chemically distinct fractions, within-specimen replication, pretreatment, fraction-specific stable-carbon-isotope signatures, interior-versus-exterior differences, environmental gradients, low uranium and thorium concentrations, and independent biomolecular preservation. We additionally test the measurements against the quantitative pre-Flood radiocarbon model previously presented in Predictions on Trial. Beginning with 0.1 pMC, allowing 1,500 years of accumulation at 20% below the modern normalized production rate, and then 4,500 years of ordinary radioactive decay, the model predicts a present-day upper concentration of approximately 7.75 pMC for carbon incorporated at the modeled Flood boundary. The highest dinosaur-bone measurement examined here, 7.46 pMC, falls immediately below that predicted boundary, while the remaining measurements likewise fall beneath it. This agreement does not by itself establish the provenance of every measured C14 atom, but it provides a quantitative correspondence between a previously published recent-age model and independent fossil measurements. The strongest dinosaur-bone results therefore warrant direct experimental discrimination between endogenous carbon and quantitatively specified contamination rather than dismissal on the basis of contamination in principle.
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